OF WARS AND MEN

The never ending wars of habitual aggressors are likely to end up as failures. The dreams of world domination, contradictory to the majority persist to play politics over the lives of men and resources. Like the fog of war based on failed intelligence reports led to the demise of our world influence, the loss of a $3T surplus to a $2.5T deficit in six years, intended for our governance. Worst still, is the planned attack on Syria and Iran.How much more did we learn?....Amor Patriae

Saturday, October 30, 2021

Filipino martial arts isn’t as widely known, but that could be changing

Gregory Manalo was in the midst of a personal renaissance in the late 1990s when he discovered Filipino martial arts (FMA).

“I didn’t find eskrima,” he told NBC Asian America, referring to a style of Filipino martial arts. “Eskrima found me.”

For Manalo, who has been training in FMA for about 25 years and teaches it in the San Francisco Bay Area, FMA was an entry point into learning more about his identity as a Filipino American that allowed him to tap into his culture and ancestry. He said performing moves makes him feel meditative and empowered.

“By training, we’re evoking and connecting with our ancestry that go back centuries,” Manalo said. “And just knowing that I can be directly tapped in by doing these movements is real meaningful for me.”

Filipino martial arts aren’t as widely known as other Asian martial arts such as karate and kung fu, but they’ve been practiced in the United States for decades. Yet even with less visibility than other martial arts, some practitioners say they see signs of FMA gaining popularity and are hopeful that it will continue to become more widely known.

FMA instructors who spoke with NBC Asian America all pointed out that the martial art can be seen in Hollywood films including the Bourne films, “The Book of Eli,” “Daredevil,” “Dune” and the Star Wars series “The Mandalorian.”

“I think in the last 10 to 20 years, we realized that in order for Filipino martial arts to grow and to proliferate, we all need to work together and learn from each other and share our arts,” said Mel Orpilla, a historian and martial artist who has been practicing FMA for more than two decades.

Joseph Bautista, a Filipino martial arts instructor at Eskabo Daan in San Francisco and practitioner for more than 30 years, said the changes he’s seen in FMA throughout the last 20 years, including more instructors willing to teach it more widely, makes him hopeful about its future. Orpilla said the featuring of FMA in Hollywood, the ability to share it more widely through social media, and the increase of FMA seminars and tournaments in Northern California have also been helpful.

Orpilla said that Filipino American martial artist Dan Inosanto, known for being one of Bruce Lee’s training partners, is a critical figure in FMA. He added that Inosanto taught Lee the FMA used in a dungeon scene of the 1974 film “Enter the Dragon.”

“The teaching methodology of Filipino martial arts is the basis for teaching choreography when it comes to weapons, or stand up punching and kicking,” said Elrik Jundis, who has trained in FMA for more than 30 years and has done extensive research on it. “That’s the bread and butter of all Hollywood action movies.”

There are three main styles of FMA: eskrima, arnis and kali. While there are nuances among the three, they’re often used interchangeably, said Elrik Jundis, who has trained in FMA for more than 30 years and has done extensive research on it. It’s a martial art that’s unique from others because training immediately begins with weapons, whereas others such as karate and taekwondo start out empty handed, Orpilla said.

“[A] Filipino martial artist’s main purpose in a fight is to end it as quickly and efficiently as possible using offensive, defensive and counterattack movements depending on the weapons being used and their fighting distance to each other,” he said.

Despite its presence in Hollywood, FMA isn’t more popularly known for a number of reasons. Orpilla said that practicing the martial art was banned in the Philippines during Spanish colonial rule from 1521 to 1898 because they did not want Filipinos to use it to revolt.

Jundis also noted that more popular Asian martial arts have roots in countries that have had a longstanding national identity.

Meanwhile, the concept of what it means to be Filipino is still forming, he said. The Philippines has been an independent country for less than a century. It gained independence in 1946 after nearly 400 years of colonial rule under Spain and the United States.

Bautista said that the Philippine islands operated separately rather than as a single country prior to Spanish colonization. Orpilla said that the islands were vulnerable to invasion from other countries and had to fight to protect themselves, their tribes and families.

Jundis added that FMA isn’t as big of an organized sport the way martial arts like taekwondo and judo are — both of which are categories at the Olympics.

He also said that specifics about the history and origins of FMA vary depending on who is asked due to a lack of documentation.

The popularity of FMA occurred in the United States rather than in the Philippines, practitioners and historians told NBC Asian America. It’s not clear exactly where or when in the U.S. it started, but they said its presence in the U.S. is linked to the immigration of Filipino plantation workers in the early 20th century. They also said that FMA was first taught publicly in Stockton, a city in California’s Central Valley, which birthed a number of grandmasters of the martial art, including Inosanto.

Orpilla said that another reason knowledge of FMA isn’t so widespread is because it historically has been kept within families, and people did not want to teach it to others.

“I don’t know about Filipino martial arts in the mainstream in my lifetime, but [there’s] been a good push towards Filipino martial arts,” Bautista said.

FMA is also gaining traction beyond the United States. Manalo said one of his instructors has held seminars on it in Europe, where he said it has been well received.

For Manalo, FMA has not only been a way to protect himself, but a fulfilling practice and a source of pride for his culture.

“To know that we have something and say this was ours made me feel proud because a lot of people all over the world at this point valued Filipino martial arts, specifically the knife fighting and sword fighting,” he said. “It was something that people recognize in a world where people don’t even know who Filipinos are. It was a good entry point to really just dive deep into history, culture, arts and practice.”

Thursday, October 28, 2021

China's 'Stealth Ships' Aren’t So Stealthy After All

China's Type-022 missile boats have long been seen as stealthy.

The boats feature sharp angular lines and hidden missile launchers.

In reality, the boats show up in commercially available radar scans of the Chinese coastline.

China's largest class of warships—once thought to be wholly resistant to radar detection—are actually quite visible to radar scans after all.

The Houbei-class fast-attack boats, which bristle with anti-ship missiles, are easily seen in Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) that remote sensing companies use, according to naval authority H.I. Sutton, author of the Covert Shores blog. He has uncovered convincing evidence that the Type-022's radar-evading design is a myth. This calls into serious question whether other forms of radar can detect the boats, too, and whether or not their stealthy lines are actually just for show.

In the mid-2000s, China built a fleet of 82 Type-022 fast-attack craft. Known as the Houbei-class, the tiny boats are just 141 feet long and displace 250 tons. A catamaran design, each can sail at a top speed of 36 knots and support a crew of 14. Each is equipped with an AK-630 30-millimeter Gatling gun and eight YJ-83 anti-ship missiles, giving them the firepower of a destroyer. China likely built the large fleet of ships, useful for coastal defense, as a response to the aircraft carrier USS Nimitz's transit of the Taiwan Strait in 1995. At the time, the People's Liberation Army Navy was powerless to stop the carrier from passing through the waterway separating Taiwan from mainland China.
The Type-022 boats have long been seen as stealthy. The boats have a low profile in the water, flat surfaces, and sharp, angular lines. The eight anti-ship missiles are carried above deck, but in sloped box launchers that are part of the hull (rather than in individual missile canisters like Harpoon missiles on the deck of an Arleigh Burke-class destroyer).

Sutton agrees that the Houbei-class boats certainly look stealthy: "Everything is carefully angled and even the window frames have saw-tooth edges," he notes in a piece for USNI News. Even Combat Fleets of the World, the authoritative guide to navies worldwide, describes the Type-022 class as including "numerous signature reduction and stealth features."

Well, maybe not.

Sutton worked with San Francisco, California-based Capella Space to show that space-based Synthetic Aperture Radar can easily detect the boats. Various features of the boats are visible in the radar images he acquired, including the bow and missile box launchers.

Radar covers a large band of frequencies in the electromagnetic spectrum, and the bands, typically named with a Roman letter, often have unique capabilities. Synthetic Aperture Radar, for example, can penetrate clouds, rain, and even tree canopy cover to survey the ground below. This makes it particularly suitable for remote Earth-sensing duties, including tracking forests, ice, and even different types of agricultural crops. Capella satellites use X-band radar in the 9.4 to 9.9 Gigahertz range.

So, is the Type-022's detectability by Synthetic Aperture Radars a problem for the Chinese fleet? It's quite possible. The AN/APG-81 radar mounted on the nose of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter also operates in the X-band. Ticonderoga and Arleigh Burke-class cruisers and destroyers use the SPY-1 radar system (which operates in the S-band), which is also used to an extent in Synthetic Aperture Radar. Other military surveillance assets, including satellites and aircraft, also use dedicated SAR radar to track everything from tank columns to the periscopes of submarines.
Photo credit: Getty Images

Fortunately, there are real stealth ships.

The Arleigh Burke-class destroyers were the first surface combatants in the U.S. Navy built with radar reduction in mind. Although the Burke-class ships are covered from bow to stern with guns, antennas, missile launchers, and even hand railings, they are thought to incorporate some level of radar efficiency reduction. (That's a good thing for wartime, not so good for peacetime, when navigating around commercial ships that rely on radar for situational awareness.)

The kings of stealth at sea are the U.S. Navy's three Zumwalt-class stealth destroyers. The Zumwalt, Michael Monsoor, and Lyndon B. Johnson appear in some ways similar to the Type-022, but the U.S. military's long experience with stealth means their covertness is unquestionable. Each of the destroyers is 600 feet long, yet reportedly appears the same size on radar as a small fishing boat.

Tuesday, October 26, 2021

China's goal is domination, not cooperation. It's playing Biden and America for fools.

Explore the topics mentioned in this article

China has a well-deserved reputation for deceit.

That’s what makes a recent statement from China’s Vice Foreign Minister Le Yucheng so remarkable: It is honest. He said it’s “not realistic” to expect China to make a new pledge to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

There’s every reason to believe him, but the Biden administration is ignoring reality.

President Joe Biden’s Special Envoy for Climate, John Kerry, has embarked on a quixotic diplomatic quest to get China to cooperate with the United States and do something meaningful to combat climate change.

China might say there’s a climate crisis in a non-binding joint statement with the United States, but its real goal is to become the world’s dominant power — a dangerous prospect for the United States and China’s neighbors.

One reason China gets away with this is because it has made the most of its “developing” country status in the United Nation’s Framework Convention on Climate Change. Under this treaty, developing countries have far fewer responsibilities.
China is far from a 'developing' nation

The Framework Convention was signed in 1992, a time when China really was a developing country. Since then, its economy has grown more than 1,000% and its emissions more than 250%. It’s now the world’s second largest economy and largest emitter — twice as large as the United States.

Despite this, in an April 16 video meeting with Mr. Kerry, Chinese Vice Premier Han Zheng argued that as the largest developing and developed countries, China and the United States should observe their “common but differentiated responsibilities.” A polite way of saying, “You first.”

The Paris Agreement Mr. Kerry negotiated in 2015 did nothing to get rid of this developed-developing country divide. It perpetuated it instead. China could volunteer to be included among the developed nations, but that would mean giving up its strategic advantage. It won’t do that, so instead we have a commitment from China that allows it to emit with abandon until at least 2030.

Chinese Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Le Yucheng on April 16, 2021, in Beijing.

This Photo Sums Up America’s Advantage Over China in the Indo-Pacific

The U.S., U.K., Australia, and Japan recently participated in a giant naval exercise.

The Maritime Partnership Exercise 2021 included three aircraft carriers from three different countries.

Russia and China mirrored the exercise one day later off the coast of Japan.

Navies from four of the largest democracies in the world conducted a huge naval exercise in the Indian Ocean earlier this month—one that involved not one, but three aircraft carriers.

Between October 15 and 18, the United States, United Kingdom, Japan, and Australia took part in the Maritime Partnership Exercise (MPX) 2021 in the Bay of Bengal in the Indian Ocean. The exercise was designed to increase interoperability between the four sea services. A day later, Chinese and Russian navies conducted a similar exercise.

The U.S. Navy sent the California-based aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson, as well as her escorts, the guided-missile cruiser USS Lake Champlain, destroyer USS Stockdale, and the replenishment oiler USNS Yukon.

Photo credit: U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Russell Lindsey

The Royal Navy's Carrier Strike Group 21—which includes the aircraft carrier HMS Queen Elizabeth (above)—also participated. Queen Elizabeth is on her maiden voyage, one that saw her and her battle group sail across the Indo-Pacific as far east as Guam. "Big Lizzie's" escorts included the destroyers HMS Defender, USS The Sullivans, frigates HMS Kent and HMS Richmond, and fleet auxiliary RFA Fort Victoria.

Japan's Maritime Self-Defense Force sent the ships JS Kaga and JS Murasame. Kaga, originally a "helicopter destroyer," is set to become a full-fledged aircraft carrier (along with her sister ship Izumo), embarking F-35B fighter jets. Rounding out the international task force was the Royal Australian Navy's frigate HMAS Ballarat and refueling tanker HMAS Sirius.

The four-power exercise (and others like it) is meant to push back against China's growing naval power in the Indo-Pacific, demonstrating solidarity and the ability to work together against a powerful adversary. Military alliances across the region mean that the U.S. Navy has access to the bases of allies closer to where the potential action is, and can bolster its own naval forces with local forces. For locals like Japan and Australia, it means the ability to call on the 500-pound gorilla of naval warfare if regional tensions rise or if war became imminent.

Photo credit: Japan Ministry of Defense

One day after the exercise, a Sino-Russian joint task force set out to prove the same capabilities. Ten warships from the Russian Navy and the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) sailed through the Tsugaru Strait into the North Pacific. The Tsugaru Strait separates the Japanese northern island of Hokkaido from the main island of Honshu. Japanese air and naval forces first observed the flotilla, which provided the photos above to the Japanese Ministry of Defense.

The five Chinese ships included one brand-new Renhai-class guided-missile cruiser; Nanchang, the largest surface combatant in the PLAN; the guided-missile destroyer Kunming; and the frigates Binzhou and Liuzhou. Rounding out the Chinese complement was a Type 903 fuel and ammunition replenishment ship.

Photo credit: Japan Ministry of Defense

Russia's contribution consisted of ships from Moscow's Pacific Fleet, including two Udaloy-class frigates, two Steregushchy-class corvettes, and the Marshal Krylov space-tracking ship. The two frigates were constructed before the Cold War and were originally destroyers before an upgrade, after which they were downgraded to frigates.

The Indo-Pacific region is coalescing into two power blocs, as these two parallel exercises make abundantly clear. On one side are the navies of the world's major democracies, including regional democracies. On the other side are the authoritarian countries Russia and China. While this doesn't mean the world is any closer to war, it does show that, when it comes to geopolitics, birds of a feather flock together. Whether or not they'll fight together is something the world is better off not finding out.

Meanwhile, China is perfectly willing to exploit Western climate change concerns for its own ends. Fueled by subsidies, the Chinese solar industry has cornered the global market. They have stifled innovation and caused many cutting-edge companies in America and Europe to call it quits. China now supplies more than two-thirds of all solar modules. Chinese companies also make up seven of the top 10 wind turbine manufacturers.

Unrealistic expectations: Joe Biden is right to be blunt with Russia and China, but wrong on what to do next

Key parts of Chinese solar panels are manufactured in Xinjiang province, where the Muslim Uyghur minority is used as forced labor. Though the Chinese government denies this, it has not permitted independent inspectors access to the manufacturing facilities. A big red flag for an entire green industry.

Where it can’t innovate advanced energy technologies, China isn’t above stealing them. The recent Annual Threat Assessment from the Director of National Intelligence warned that the Chinese are specifically targeting the American defense, energy, and finance sectors. It reports the Chinese have no qualms with using espionage and theft as means to steal American technologies.
Don't surrender US energy advantage

We’re seeing almost weekly news stories detailing how researchers connected to China’s military and intelligence services have penetrated our universities and research institutions. They are exploiting the free exchange of ideas to pilfer intellectual property. We need to wake up to the threat.

China is also making an effort to control the critical materials used in many defense and energy technologies. It’s positioned itself as a critical cog in the mining and processing of copper, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and rare earths. It’s also heavily involved in the sectors that use these materials, like battery, solar panel, and wind turbine production.

None of this is an accident. It’s a conscious geopolitical and commercial strategy.

Beijing's oppression: Why is Chinese leader Xi Jinping so afraid of Hong Kong and Jimmy Lai?

After achieving energy self-reliance, it would be a mistake to surrender America’s energy advantage. We should not turn our energy dominance over to the whims of foreign powers like China that are actively seeking America’s decline. Undermining America’s energy security will not solve climate change.

Mr. Kerry’s pursuit of international cooperation with China on climate change is sadly predictable, but China is not in the cooperation business. It’s in the global domination business.

China pretends it’s a developing country, steals technology, uses forced labor, and manipulates markets to its advantage.

During his speech to Congress, President Biden said he wants to make “sure every nation plays by the same rules in the global economy, including China.” Yet his administration seems determined to fall for China’s grand deception. China is playing the United States for the fool.

Sunday, October 24, 2021

THE COUNTER TO CHINESE HYPERSONIC NUCLEAR MISSILES: A US DRONE SUBORBITAL AIRCRAFT POWERED BY ANTI GRAVITY OR NUCLEAR PROPULSION LOADED WITH HYPERSONIC NUCLEAR MISSILES

Area 51, secret U.S. Air Force military installation located at Groom Lake in southern Nevada. It is administered by Edwards Air Force Base in southern California. The installation has been the focus of numerous conspiracies involving extraterrestrial life, though its only confirmed use is as a flight testing facility. For years there was.........

Booster rocket failure stops U.S. hypersonic weapon test

A booster rocket carrying a hypersonic glide body failed to launch Thursday morning during a test by the Defense Department's hypersonic weapons program.

"The test did not occur as planned due to a failure of the booster stack," Defense Department spokesman Lieutenant Commander Tim Gorman told CBS News in a statement about the attempted test, which took place in Alaska. Gorman stressed the failure was not related to the hypersonic technology, just the booster.

"The booster stack used in the test was not part of the hypersonic program and is not related to the Common Hypersonic Glide Body. The missile booster is used for testing purposes only."
The test took place at the Pacific Spaceport Complex-Alaska in Kodiak, and was conducted to inform hypersonic technology development. Despite the setback, the department is still on track to fielding offensive hypersonic capabilities in the early 2020s, according to Gorman.
A precision sounding rocket. / Credit: Courtesy of U.S. Navy

Hypersonic weapons can travel within the upper atmosphere at five times the speed of sound.

The failed test comes after the Navy and Army successfully tested precision sounding rockets Wednesday. The rockets take measurements that aid in U.S. hypersonic development.

"During weapon system development, precision sounding rocket launches fill a critical gap between ground testing and full system flight testing," The Navy said in a statement. The statement went on to say that launches like this one would help speed the development of offensive and defensive hypersonic technology.

The U.S. tests come amid reports that China has been testing hypersonic weapons.

The Financial Times reported China conducted a test of a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile in August. The hypersonic glide vehicle flew through low orbit towards its target and only missed by about 24 miles. The Daily Mail also reported China had conducted another test in July.

On Wednesday, President Biden said he was concerned by the reported Chinese tests.

Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin was also asked about China's alleged tests this week and declined to comment, but he told the reporters traveling with him to Tblisi, Georgia, that the U.S. keeps a close watch on the development of China's military capabilities.

"You heard me say before that China is a challenge, and we're going to remain focused on that," Austin said.

Propulsion Technologies

If the performance required of a UAV is similar to the performance of conventional aircraft, the propulsion system may also be similar. Many UAVs will weigh more than 1,000 pounds, fly at subsonic and supersonic velocities at altitudes below 60,000 feet, maneuver at 9g’s or less, and will be maintained in ways similar to current military or commercial aircraft. These UAVs will not require unique propulsion technology. Indeed, many new aircraft of all types are designed to use existing engines to avoid the time and expense of developing new engines. This chapter discusses UAV concepts that require new propulsion technology.

Some classes of UAV require new engine technology, new designs, or even new fundamental research and propulsion concepts. For example, a UCAV may require a gas turbine engine that can operate at much more than the 9g forces that limit manned vehicles. For high g loadings, the entire engine structure, especially the rotor support, will have to be reevaluated. An engine capable of maneuvering at 30g, for example, would require new design concepts that could require considerable engineering development but not new basic research. Nevertheless, for some UAVs, the propulsion system is a critical limiting technology. These include subsonic HALE aircraft that must operate above the altitude limits of current engine technologies; MAVs; and very low-cost, high-performance vehicles.

BACKGROUND

In addition to thrust, propulsion systems for modern aircraft must provide high fuel economy, low weight, small size (to limit drag), and extremely high reliability. The primary engine performance metrics are minimum total fuel burn

Suggested Citation:"5 Propulsion Technologies." National Research Council. 2000. Uninhabited Air Vehicles: Enabling Science for Military Systems. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/9878.

(while meeting aircraft performance requirements) and reliability levels commensurate with permissible aircraft loss rate (1 per 10⁸ departures for commercial aircraft). Many military missions also require stealth, which greatly affects engine design and installation. For all types of aircraft (including UAVs), engines and fuel typically account for 40 percent to 60 percent of gross takeoff weight, and the performance of the propulsion system has an enormous effect on air vehicle performance (Figure 5-1).

The gas turbine engine is vastly superior to alternative engines in all propulsion metrics. This high level of performance reflects the intrinsic merits of the concept and the $50 billion to $100 billion invested in gas turbine research and development over the past 50 years. The power-to-weight ratio of gas turbines is three to six times that of aircraft piston engines. The difference in reliability is even greater. The in-flight shutdown (IFSD) rate, a measure of reliability, for gas turbine engines in large commercial aircraft is 0.5 shutdowns for every 10⁵ hours of flight. For single-engine military jet aircraft, the IFSD rate is 2 for every 10⁵ hours. The IFSD rate for light aircraft piston engines is considerably worse, about 5 to 10 for every 10⁵ hours. Although the IFSD statistics are not available for small piston engines in current UAVs, anecdotally, they are even higher. Gas turbines can also operate for long periods of times (4,000 to 8,000 hours) between overhauls, compared to 1,200 to 1,700 hours for aircraft piston engines. The small piston engines in current UAVs are replaced every 100 hours or less of service. The attractiveness of small piston engines is their low cost and the lack of availability of high-performance gas turbines in very small sizes. Alternative propulsion concepts may only be desirable when suitable gas turbines are not available.

FIGURE 5-1 Propulsion system weight (engine plus fuel) as a percentage of aircraft takeoff gross weight (TOGW).

Both energy density and power density are important factors for propulsion systems. Energy density is a measure of the energy in the fuel and the conversion efficiency of the power converter (engine). Power density is a measure of the power converter. For example, the propulsion system weight of a long-range transport aircraft is dominated by the energy density of the fuel consumed (which may be 10 times the weight of the engines). In contrast, a solar-powered vehicle has zero fuel weight and, thus, very high energy density but low power density (the solar cells and power storage system are heavy). Figure 5-2 illustrates the range of power and energy densities for current UAVs.

Most air vehicles require about twice as much power for takeoff and climbing than for cruising. Therefore, the design of the propulsion system is a compromise between the weight of the engine (power-to-weight ratio) required for takeoff and the fuel weight required for cruising range (e.g., engine efficiency). The interactions between these factors for particular power system technologies will be discussed below.

Development cost has been a major factor for UAV propulsion systems in the past. The development of an all-new gas turbine engine for a tactical military aircraft can cost more than $1 billion, an inconceivable expense for the UAVs developed to date. Thus, the practice has been to adapt existing devices in a very budget-constrained, suboptimal manner, usually by sacrificing both performance and reliability. The cost of new technology, especially new concepts, will be as high for UAVs as it has been for conventional aircraft unless new ways for developing propulsion systems can be perfected.

FIGURE 5-2 Characteristics of propulsion and power systems for UAVs.

BASIC RESEARCH

The range of UAV missions and applications is restricted by the lack of an adequate propulsion system. Missions that may be desirable but require the development of propulsion technology include very high-altitude (above 65,000 feet) vehicles, long-endurance reconnaissance/surveillance/communications relay vehicles, MAVs, and very low-cost, high-performance UCAVs.

High-Altitude, Long-Endurance UAVs

Substantial efforts are under way to develop propulsion technologies for HALE surveillance and communications-relay missions. The mission objectives for HALE UAVs are to operate at as high an altitude as possible to maximize the geographic coverage of sensors and communications. High altitude can also be an important contributor to survivability because high altitude reduces the aircraft’s vulnerability to ground-to-air and air-to-air missiles. However, to be entirely safe from many widely deployed threats, operating altitudes must be above 75,000 or even 85,000 feet. These altitudes cannot be routinely reached with current propulsion technology.

At an altitude above 75,000 feet, there is very little air (the air density at 80,000 feet is only 3 percent of the density at sea level), which affects air-breathing fueled propulsion systems in two fundamental ways. First, engine weight is inherently higher. The fuel required to produce a unit of thrust per time is the same at high altitudes as it is at low altitudes, but the fuel-to-air ratio is fixed by the chemistry of combustion. As a result, the required mass flow rate of air is set by the power required.

Second, the large compression ratios required for gas turbines (additional compressor stages must be added), piston engines, and fuel cells (which require several stages of turbocharging) result in weight and drag penalties. The additional compression requirement significantly increases the weight of high-altitude propulsion systems. Because the compression process increases the temperature as well as the air pressure, the required pressure ratios result in temperatures that are too high for current technology. Thus, coolers (heat exchangers) must be added to the compression system. The weight and drag penalties of these heat exchangers are exacerbated by the very low ambient air density. High-altitude aircraft under development for NASA, which use piston engines, have more area and drag associated with heat exchangers than for the wings. The increased weight and drag of heat exchangers with altitude limit the operating altitude of these designs (Drela, 1996).

Areas for research include technology leading to low-weight, low-drag heat exchangers and low-weight, low Reynolds number, high-efficiency compression systems. These technologies will be important for both gas turbine and internal combustion engines, as well as for fuel cell systems (described below).

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Propulsion approaches other than combustion engines have been proposed, notably fuel cells (Stedman, 1997) and solar power. Fuel-cell systems have the potential advantage of high energy densities but have relatively low power densities. Turbochargers and heat exchangers similar to those for piston engines would be required at high altitude. Unless fuel cells can operate on hydrogen (whose low density makes it difficult to integrate into an air vehicle), their complexity and weight quickly dominate the design. No liquid fuel systems are in routine operation today, and none has been designed for use in air vehicles. Fuel cells might be useful for very long-endurance missions for which fuel consumption is the dominant factor.

Because of the relatively low energy density of solar radiation, solar-powered aircraft must be extremely light and efficient, and they require exceptionally careful operation. Thus, they are probably only viable for niche military applications. The principal technology requirements for solar-powered aircraft are lighter, more efficient solar cell designs and compact, lightweight energy storage systems (for night operation).

Micro Air Vehicles

MAVs are currently defined by DARPA as having characteristic dimensions of less than 15 cm. This makes propulsion and power for MAVs very challenging indeed. A study was conducted by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Lincoln Laboratory on both the propulsion requirements and the technology options available to meet these requirements (Davis et al., 1996). Figure 5-3 illustrates how the amount of power required varies as a function of vehicle size for a class of conventional airplane configurations. In the figure, the flight power curve refers to the power (thrust times flight velocity) the vehicle requires for level flight. (Climbing and maneuvering may require 50 percent to 100 percent more power than level flight.) The flight power requirement is independent of the type of propulsion system. The shaft power curve in the figure refers to the mechanical power a motor must provide with a propeller propulsion system, regardless of the type of motor (e.g., electric, internal combustion, gas turbine). Assuming that the motor is electric, the electric power curve then represents the power that must be supplied by the source of electricity. Thus, vehicles of this type need on the order of 3 to 5 watts for cruising and 6 to 10 watts for climbing.

Conceptually, different propulsion systems have different relationships between motor weight and fuel weight, so the relative, overall mass of the propulsion system is a function of flight duration requirements. Figure 5-4 shows the trade-offs at the 50-watt level that would be required for some of the less power-efficient UAV concepts (e.g., hovering vehicles) (NRC, 1997b). Table 5-1 illustrates the propulsion system mass (including fuel where appropriate) to propel a vehicle with a takeoff weight of 50 grams for various flight times with different power systems (the only option that has been demonstrated is electrically driven

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FIGURE 5-3 Typical power requirements for propeller-powered MAVs. Source: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lincoln Laboratory.

propellers). The nominal weight allowance for propulsion in the design is 36 grams; thus weights of more than 36 grams do not meet the specified flight times. The most attractive (lowest total weight) propulsion systems are airbreathing systems. The current DARPA MAV program is investigating four propulsion options: batteries, microdiesels, fuel cells, and micro gas turbines. The last three are projected to have about the same fuel consumption per unit power, but the micro gas turbine is considerably smaller and lighter.

Low-Cost, High-Performance UAVs

Reliable aircraft propulsion systems are expensive to develop, manufacture, and operate. Typical list prices range from $130 to $200 per pound of thrust for civilian engines and $200 to $400 per pound for military engines (civilian engine prices generally include amortization of the development costs; military engine prices do not). The price per pound increases as size is reduced because of relatively higher development costs and engine accessory costs (e.g., fuel pumps, controls, and electrical generators). Even “low-cost,” short-lived (10-hour) cruise missile engines cost about $150 per pound. With current technology, an engine designer can trade off lower cost for lower performance by selecting less expensive materials and manufacturing approaches and reducing the number of parts. The most important question for many UAVs will be how to realize high performance while dramatically reducing costs, especially in the smaller engine sizes.

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FIGURE 5-4 System mass vs. energy for several advanced, small energy systems. Source: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lincoln Laboratory.

Significant cost reduction over the lowest cost with current technology will require advances in fluid mechanics, heat transfer, and materials technologies that emphasize cost instead of performance, which is traditionally emphasized. For example, increases in airfoil and end-wall boundary-layer loading can reduce the number of compressor and turbine stages, as well as the number of airfoils per stage. These increases might be realized through progress in passive (e.g., suction or casing treatment) or active (e.g., involving feedback) boundary-layer control.

Another example would be reducing the cost of hot sections (combustors and turbines) through the development of low-cost, high-temperature materials and coatings. An alternative approach would be to develop new cooling schemes that would reduce the cost of producing air-cooled parts. (A typical small engine may require drilling more than 100,000 cooling holes). Also, cooling is often less efficient in small engines because of limitations in manufacturing technology. Many fundamental problems with using vapor and liquid cooling approaches in engine environments will require basic research to be resolved.

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TABLE 5-1 Total Propulsion System Mass for 50-Gram MAV

	Mass for 30-minute flight (in grams)	Mass for 60-minute flight (in grams)
Rocket (hydrogen-oxygen)	83	140
Pulse jet	45	80
Electric motor (0.38 W/gram, 60% efficient)
Batteries	55	79
Solar^a	35^a	35^a
Thermal photovoltaic^b	25^b	26^b
Microturbine generator	20	24
Advanced fuel cell	25	31
Microfan jet	8	12
Internal combustion engine (5% efficient)
Otto cycle	13	22
Diesel cycle	9	13
Note: Propulsion system design mass is 36 grams ^aSolar panel size may exceed the available surface area. ^bExcludes cooling drag.

Another major issue for engines of all sizes, but increasingly important as engine size is reduced, is leakage flows through the clearances between stationary and rotating parts. These leakages have a first-order impact on engine efficiency and operability. Engine complexity and costs are increased significantly by design features to reduce leakage. New technology and approaches for airfoils, end-wall flows, seals, and thermostructural interaction could reduce the impact of leakage. One example that has been tried is shape-memory alloys to control compressor blade clearances (Schetky et al., 1998).

Gas bearings are feasible in small sizes and are used in small turbomachinery, such as APUs. If gas bearings were used in small aircraft engines, they could reduce the complexity and cost of the bearing and lubrication systems.

Currently, most military engines are designed for specific applications; thus development costs for each new aircraft are substantial. One radical approach to reducing these costs would be to develop a miniature, high-performance, low-cost engine that could be grouped to provide greater thrust. This “one-size-fitsall” approach, however, is well beyond the state of the art and would require basic research. Existing technology can produce only miniature, low-performance, high-cost (per unit thrust) engines. In addition to the advances discussed above, the technologies for this new approach would include very small, low-cost accessories. MEMS could be an important element in miniature engines.

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UNIQUE OR ENABLING APPLIED RESEARCH

Low-Cost, Storable, Limited-Life Propulsion Systems

As currently envisioned, propulsion systems for UAVs can be divided into two broad categories: (1) vehicles operated routinely in peacetime (e.g., highaltitude reconnaissance UAVs), and (2) vehicles used only in wartime, for which most, or even all, training will be done by simulation. Engines for the first category of UAVs will have conventional operations and maintenance requirements. But the requirements of store-in-peace/use-in-war vehicles will be closer to those of cruise missiles. These vehicles will require engineering solutions for subsystems, such as fuel and lubrication systems, that must be capable of unattended storage for years and very fast start-up.

Traditionally, much of the profit for manufacturers of gas turbines has come from the sale of spare parts to replace parts consumed during military training. If vehicles are used only in wartime, manufacturers will have little or no opportunity to sell spare parts in peacetime (and thus no industry geared up to produce them), necessitating a different pricing structure for these engines. Therefore, although overall engine-related program costs might be reduced, costs would be shifted from the operations and maintenance budget to the procurement budget (i.e., the purchase price of engines would increase).

Engines are now nominally optimized for minimum life-cycle costs under the current market structure. A different life cycle can have different optimal conditions. For a given thrust, the optimum design for a 500-cycle engine life in a UCAV will be different than for a 4,000-cycle life (typical for a modern fighter) or for a 20,000-cycle life (for commercial aircraft). These differences will be apparent, for example, in the lower requirements for material creep life, maintenance, and survivability. The lower requirements might also be reflected in the selection of materials (for lower cost and weight), lighter weight structures (especially rotating parts), and less emphasis on aging and maintainability characteristics (e.g., thinner airfoils, more welds, and fewer bolted joints).

Technology for storable engines already exists for cruise missiles and smaller engine sizes (700-lb. thrust and below) with very limited lives (tens of hours). However, this technology has not been used for larger engines (more than 1,000-lb. thrust) with longer lives (500 hours), which are contemplated for UCAVs.

Propulsion for High-Speed, Highly-Maneuverable UAVs

Current engine designs accommodate steady inertial loads compatible with human life (nominally up to 9g’s), as well as a capability to withstand additional impulsive loads from hard landings. (A typical military design requirement is illustrated in Figure 5-5.) If the maneuver envelope is increased for UCAVs, new

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FIGURE 5-5 Typical engine specifications for externally applied forces on takeoff, landing, and maneuvers.

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designs would have to be developed to accommodate the significantly increased g-loads. Without design changes and/or technological innovations, the higher load requirements would translate into higher weights. Steady-state, inverted flight, for example, would require the development of new bearing lubrication schemes. Even without preliminary design and system studies, it is clear that stiff, lightweight structures; better fluid-sealing; and high-load, low-life bearings will be required.

SUMMARY OF RESEARCH NEEDS

Most research on propulsion systems will benefit UAV applications. However, focused research will be needed to develop some types of UAVs. The research topics are summarized in Table 5-2.

TABLE 5-2 UAV Propulsion Technologies

	Type of UAV
	HALE	HSM	Very Low-Cost
General Topics
High-altitude propulsion	E
VTOL propulsion			E
Modeling	I	I	I
Cost reduction		I	I
Specific Topics
Low Reynolds number turbomachinery	E		E
Low Reynolds number heat rejection			E
Turbomachinery tip-clearance tolerance	I	E	E
Leakage desensitization		I	I
Thrust vectoring		I	I
Magnetic bearings	I	I
Air bearings		I	I
Solid lubricated bearings		I	I
Low-cost accessories		E	I
Low-cost vapor and liquid cooling schemes		I
Affordable high-temperature materials	I	I	I
Cooling for small engines		I	E
I = important E = enabling

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Recommendation. The U.S. Air Force should include research on propulsion systems for UAV applications in its long-term research program. The following general research topics should be included:

high-altitude propulsion technologies, which may include gas turbines, internal combustion engines, solar-powered motors, or fuel cells
propulsion systems for small, highly maneuverable vehicles, including vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) capabilities
computational modeling capability to reduce the need for engine testing during development
cost-reducing technologies that, for example, reduce parts count and complexity

The following specific research topics should be considered:

low Reynolds number turbomachinery, which is very important for both high-altitude operation and very small vehicles
low Reynolds number heat rejection for high-altitude coolers and for cooling very small propulsion systems at lower altitudes
turbomachinery tip-clearance desensitization (for highly loaded engines, high-altitude operation, and very small systems)
desensitization to leakage and better, cheaper seals to reduce cost and enhance performance for highly maneuverable and very small vehicles
thrust vectoring for highly maneuverable vehicles
magnetic, air, and solid lubricated bearings to improve long-term storage, enhance high-altitude operation, and reduce complexity and cost
technologies for low-cost accessories, which tend to dominate the cost of smaller engines
low-cost vapor and liquid cooling schemes and affordable high-temperature materials (e.g., structural, magnetic, and electronic materials)
more effective cooling technologies for small engines

U.S. Air Force (USAF) planners have envisioned that uninhabited air vehicles (UAVs), working in concert with inhabited vehicles, will become an integral part of the future force structure. Current plans are based on the premise that UAVs have the potential to augment, or even replace, inhabited aircraft in a variety of missions. However, UAV technologies must be better understood before they will be accepted as an alternative to inhabited aircraft on the battlefield. The U.S. Air Force Office of Scientific Research (AFOSR) requested that the National Research Council, through the National Materials Advisory Board and the Aeronautics and Space Engineering Board, identify long-term research opportunities for supporting the development of technologies for UAVs. The objectives of the study were to identify technological developments that would improve the performance and reliability of "generation-after-next" UAVs at lower cost and to recommend areas of fundamental research in materials, structures, and aeronautical technologies. The study focused on innovations in technology that would "leapfrog" current technology development and would be ready for scaling-up in the post-2010 time frame (i.e., ready for use on aircraft by 2025).